However some other topics similar to this one have been done by AL-SHARKAS, Adel, where he uses the same technique and models on the topic ‘out put response to shocks to interest rate, inflation and stock returns....
January 2015 was the first time since 2009 that we had (prices lower than a year earlier) rather than just disinflation. But this annual deflation is not the same nature as that of 2009. Back then deflation resulted from an implosion of the money supply (stock and housing market crash) while the recent deflation was primarily the result of lower energy prices. Many experts believed that the 2015 deflation was "good" because people benefited from the lower prices while most suffered asset deflation in 2009. The one caveat of the current situation is that most of the job creation since 2009 has come from the energy sector and sustained lower prices could result in a loss of the primary driver for the current economy.
It focuses on the main points about inflation.
But with the US economy still recovering and inflation rates in other nations rising the concern of slipping back into another recession has become a very real issue.
It could be recession, inflation or anything.
We've added QE1, QE2, Operation Twist and QE infinity to the chart so that you can see the effects on the inflation rate. These "Quantitative Easings" were not your typical FED money printing schemes. In QE1, which lasted from November 25th 2008 - March 31, 2010 the FED started by purchasing $500 Billion in Mortgage backed securities. Most of these securities were virtually worthless at this point. But just a few months earlier they were considered part of the larger money supply. So in effect the FED bailed out the owners of this junk debt and pumped up the money supply at the same time by converting worthless junk into "valuable" greenbacks.
Economics Essays: Deflation vs Inflation
Keeping costs down has assisted the US economy in balancing the control of inflation better than other countries emerging from the global recession, such as China and Europe.
They even hinted at the possibility of deflation
By 2009, both headline and underlying inflation fell to the lower end of the Reserve Bank’s inflation target band between 2-3% where the Treasury forecasted inflation (CPI) to be 1.5% in 2008-09....
Inflation Essay | Deflation | Inflation - Scribd
So the FED decides QE2 is necessary and this time it purchases another $600 Billion of Longer Term Treasury Notes. The inflation rate increases to almost 4% but when QE2 stops the inflation rate begins falling again. Personally, I would love to see the inflation rate stay between 1 and 2% or better yet between 0% and 1%. In the long run steady low inflation rates benefit everyone as people can accurately judge their future costs and make sound business decisions. But the government prefers a higher inflation rate so it can repay its debts with "cheaper dollars." Inflation also erodes savings and causes consumers to act imprudently and spend more than they would if they had sound (unchanging) money. This is what the government means by "stimulating the economy" i.e. causing people to spend more than they would prudently do otherwise. The obvious long term effects are a society with more debt than it should have and thus we see crashes like we saw in 2008. Then the government has to "do something" so it prints more money to fix the problem it created by printing money in the first place. For more detail see: